Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Marie-Marvingt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.43) 0.68 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 41.2% 33.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.1%
0 - 1
19.7%
1 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 29.1% 19.7% 6.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe MansEstac Troyes
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack19%67%
Defense76%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Mans Estac Troyes
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%0%25%100%33%75%
Draws0%75%38%0%33%13%
Loses50%25%38%0%33%13%

Form: Le Mans: DLWLLDWD • Estac Troyes: WDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Le Mans Estac Troyes
HATHAT
GF total36914317
GF avg0.81.51.12.81.02.1
GA total3710437
GA avg0.81.81.30.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe MansEstac Troyes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%63%
1.525%38%63%25%
2.513%13%50%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe MansEstac Troyes
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricLe MansEstac Troyes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLe MansEstac Troyes
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—5-21-3
Biggest losses1-21-0—2-0
Goals For1353
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricLe MansEstac Troyes
Form29%71%
Att22%78%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Estac Troyes

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Le Mans = 0.56 (league 1.43), Estac Troyes = 0.68 (league 1.18)

Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 29.1% 19.7% 6.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 41.2% · Away win 33.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1