Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Stade de la Mosson
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.40) 1.94 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 21.5% 59.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier 0 5.7% 11.0% 10.7% 6.9% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontpellierSaint Etienne
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack56%100%
Defense44%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montpellier Saint Etienne
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%50%75%63%
Draws50%0%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%25%0%13%

Form: Montpellier: DWLDLWLW • Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Montpellier Saint Etienne
HATHAT
GF total53810717
GF avg1.30.81.02.51.82.1
GA total5386410
GA avg1.30.81.01.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontpellierSaint Etienne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%63%
1.525%13%63%38%
2.50%13%38%25%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontpellierSaint Etienne
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricMontpellierSaint Etienne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMontpellierSaint Etienne
Wins13
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses1-31-02-3
Goals For2243
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricMontpellierSaint Etienne
Form41%59%
Att36%64%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Saint Etienne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.17 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montpellier = 0.93 (league 1.40), Saint Etienne = 1.94 (league 1.20)

Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier 0 5.7% 11.0% 10.7% 6.9% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 59.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1