Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Armand Cesari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.41) 1.94 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.0% 21.9% 45.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dunkerque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.7% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBastiaDunkerque
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack10%52%
Defense71%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bastia Dunkerque
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins0%0%0%40%0%25%
Draws33%40%38%40%33%38%
Loses67%60%63%20%67%38%

Form: Bastia: DLLDLLLD • Dunkerque: DDLWLDLW

League goals

Metric Bastia Dunkerque
HATHAT
GF total40413316
GF avg1.30.00.52.61.02.0
GA total74119514
GA avg2.30.81.41.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBastiaDunkerque
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%75%88%88%
1.513%38%63%75%
2.50%25%13%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBastiaDunkerque
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score055011

Penalties

MetricBastiaDunkerque
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBastiaDunkerque
Wins01
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——6-2—
Biggest losses1-32-01-32-1
Goals For2062
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricBastiaDunkerque
Form22%78%
Att15%85%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals77%23%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Bastia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bastia = 1.57 (league 1.41), Dunkerque = 1.94 (league 1.19)

Dunkerque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.7% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 45.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1