Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 • Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.20 (league 1.41) 1.89 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 15.6% 19.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Le Mans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.7% 5.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaint EtienneLe Mans
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%75%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saint Etienne Le Mans
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%80%67%40%0%22%
Draws25%20%22%20%75%44%
Loses25%0%11%40%25%33%

Form: Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLW • Le Mans: DLWLLDWDD

League goals

Metric Saint Etienne Le Mans
HATHAT
GF total109195611
GF avg2.51.82.11.01.51.2
GA total64105712
GA avg1.50.81.11.01.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaint EtienneLe Mans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%78%78%
1.567%33%33%44%
2.533%22%11%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaint EtienneLe Mans
HATHAT
Clean sheets134202
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricSaint EtienneLe Mans
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSaint EtienneLe Mans
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-21-0—
Biggest losses2-3—1-21-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricSaint EtienneLe Mans
Form67%33%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.8%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Saint Etienne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ William Hill
Draw4.52 @ Pinnacle
Away5.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Saint Etienne = 3.20 (league 1.41), Le Mans = 1.89 (league 1.19)

Le Mans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.7% 5.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1