Ligue 2 — France
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stade de l'Aube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.44) 1.19 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 15.7% 13.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Amiens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estac Troyes 0 1.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.2% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 8.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstac TroyesAmiens
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack60%33%
Defense73%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estac Troyes Amiens
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins100%20%64%17%60%36%
Draws0%60%27%33%20%27%
Loses0%20%9%50%20%36%

Form: Estac Troyes: WDWLWWWWDWD • Amiens: DWLDDWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Estac Troyes Amiens
HATHAT
GF total1552041014
GF avg2.51.01.80.72.01.3
GA total4596814
GA avg0.71.00.81.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstac TroyesAmiens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%55%64%73%
1.555%27%45%18%
2.536%0%18%9%
3.59%0%0%9%
4.59%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstac TroyesAmiens
HATHAT
Clean sheets325123
Failed to score033404

Penalties

MetricEstac TroyesAmiens
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEstac TroyesAmiens
Wins41
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-32-10-3
Biggest losses—2-00-16-2
Goals For5323
Goals Against2226

Model comparison

MetricEstac TroyesAmiens
Form65%35%
Att64%36%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Estac Troyes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 188Bet
Draw4.89 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estac Troyes = 2.77 (league 1.44), Amiens = 1.19 (league 1.17)

Amiens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estac Troyes 0 1.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.2% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 8.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1