Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Stade de Roudourou
Match Finished
2 - 2

PAU

Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.41) 2.04 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 21.0% 42.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.1%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guingamp 0 2.2% 4.5% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
1 3.9% 7.9% 8.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.5% 7.1% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuingampPAU
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack55%45%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guingamp PAU
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins43%33%38%57%33%46%
Draws29%33%31%14%50%31%
Loses29%33%31%29%17%23%

Form: Guingamp: DLLWWLWWDDLDW • PAU: WDWDLWWWWDLLD

League goals

Metric Guingamp PAU
HATHAT
GF total1010209918
GF avg1.41.71.51.31.51.4
GA total11112281119
GA avg1.61.81.71.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuingampPAU
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%77%69%
1.562%46%46%31%
2.523%23%15%23%
3.50%15%0%8%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuingampPAU
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricGuingampPAU
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGuingampPAU
Wins24
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-45-20-36-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4536

Model comparison

MetricGuingampPAU
Form55%45%
Att55%45%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Guingamp or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guingamp = 1.79 (league 1.41), PAU = 2.04 (league 1.18)

PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guingamp 0 2.2% 4.5% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
1 3.9% 7.9% 8.1% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.5% 7.1% 7.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 42.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1