Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 19:00 • Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.41) 0.48 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.9% 17.9% 7.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.8%
1 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 8.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.4% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 8.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaint EtienneBastia
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack100%33%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saint Etienne Bastia
HATHAT
Played79167815
Wins57%56%56%14%0%7%
Draws14%11%13%29%25%27%
Loses29%33%31%57%75%67%

Form: Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLWLLWLWWL • Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Saint Etienne Bastia
HATHAT
GF total201333606
GF avg2.91.42.10.90.00.4
GA total10132312820
GA avg1.41.41.41.71.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaint EtienneBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%69%33%73%
1.563%44%7%40%
2.531%25%0%20%
3.513%6%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaint EtienneBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score0222810

Penalties

MetricSaint EtienneBastia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSaint EtienneBastia
Wins31
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-21-0—
Biggest losses2-34-01-32-0
Goals For6320
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricSaint EtienneBastia
Form75%25%
Att86%14%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Winner : Saint Etienne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away5.05 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Saint Etienne = 2.05 (league 1.41), Bastia = 0.48 (league 1.18)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 8.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.4% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 8.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 7.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1