Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:00 • Stade Paul-Lignon
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.42) 1.44 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 25.9% 42.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodez 0 7.1% 10.3% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodezGuingamp
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack56%67%
Defense22%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodez Guingamp
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins25%25%25%33%43%38%
Draws50%25%38%33%29%31%
Loses25%50%38%33%29%31%

Form: Rodez: DLDWWLWLDDLWLLDD • Guingamp: DLLWWLWWDDLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Rodez Guingamp
HATHAT
GF total8816121224
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.71.5
GA total81422161228
GA avg1.01.81.41.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodezGuingamp
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%81%69%81%
1.519%44%63%50%
2.56%6%19%25%
3.50%6%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodezGuingamp
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricRodezGuingamp
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricRodezGuingamp
Wins22
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-45-2
Goals For2333
Goals Against2445

Model comparison

MetricRodezGuingamp
Form38%62%
Att45%55%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guingamp

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away3.05 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.07 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodez = 1.20 (league 1.42), Guingamp = 1.44 (league 1.18)

Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodez 0 7.1% 10.3% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 42.3%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1