Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:00 • Nouste Camp
Match Finished

PAU

3 - 3
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.43) 1.10 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 25.6% 27.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rodez
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAU 0 7.3% 8.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.2% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPAURodez
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack50%42%
Defense42%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PAU Rodez
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins44%38%41%33%25%29%
Draws11%50%29%44%25%35%
Loses44%13%29%22%50%35%

Form: PAU: WDWDLWWWWDLLDDLWL • Rodez: DLDWWLWLDDLWLLDDW

League goals

Metric PAU Rodez
HATHAT
GF total11122310818
GF avg1.21.51.41.11.01.1
GA total12132591423
GA avg1.31.61.51.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePAURodez
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%71%76%82%
1.541%41%24%41%
2.512%18%6%6%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPAURodez
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricPAURodez
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPAURodez
Wins42
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-12-3
Biggest losses0-36-01-24-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricPAURodez
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h40%60%
Goals41%59%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rodez

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): PAU = 1.51 (league 1.43), Rodez = 1.10 (league 1.18)

Rodez
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAU 0 7.3% 8.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.0% 12.2% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 27.6%

vtt 7 , vtd1