Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 • Stade de la Libération
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.37) 1.41 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 27.3% 51.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boulogne 0 11.1% 15.7% 11.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoulogneMontpellier
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack55%27%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boulogne Montpellier
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins22%22%22%40%38%39%
Draws11%33%22%20%25%22%
Loses67%44%56%40%38%39%

Form: Boulogne: LLLLWLWLWDLLDDWDLL • Montpellier: DWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDL

League goals

Metric Boulogne Montpellier
HATHAT
GF total1171813619
GF avg1.20.81.01.30.81.1
GA total19102912719
GA avg2.11.11.61.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoulogneMontpellier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%72%72%
1.522%39%22%22%
2.511%17%6%11%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoulogneMontpellier
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricBoulogneMontpellier
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBoulogneMontpellier
Wins12
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-11-2
Biggest losses2-63-01-32-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against6332

Model comparison

MetricBoulogneMontpellier
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Double chance : Boulogne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.35 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boulogne = 0.79 (league 1.37), Montpellier = 1.41 (league 1.19)

Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boulogne 0 11.1% 15.7% 11.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 51.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1