Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade de la Libération
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.37)
1.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.7% | 27.1% | 51.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Montpellier | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Boulogne | 0 | 11.0% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Boulogne | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 55% | 27% |
| Defense | 27% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Boulogne | Montpellier | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 22% | 22% | 22% | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Draws | 11% | 33% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 67% | 44% | 56% | 40% | 38% | 39% |
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MontpellierDWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Boulogne | Montpellier | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Boulogne | Montpellier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 89% | 72% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 39% | 22% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 17% | 6% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Boulogne | Montpellier | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Boulogne | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Boulogne | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Boulogne | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 56.6% | 43.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.35 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.26 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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