Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Francis Le Basser
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.42) 0.25 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 54.7% 15.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
48.7%
1 - 0
22.6%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Laval 0 48.7% 12.4% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 5.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLavalBastia
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack36%36%
Defense0%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Laval Bastia
HATHAT
Played810188917
Wins0%30%17%25%0%12%
Draws38%30%33%25%33%29%
Loses63%40%50%50%67%59%

Form: Laval: DDDDWLLLDLDLWLWLLL • Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Laval Bastia
HATHAT
GF total5914729
GF avg0.60.90.80.90.20.5
GA total121426121022
GA avg1.51.41.41.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLavalBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%78%41%71%
1.522%33%12%41%
2.56%22%0%18%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLavalBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets134325
Failed to score5492810

Penalties

MetricLavalBastia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLavalBastia
Wins11
Draws42
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-21-0—
Biggest losses0-34-01-32-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricLavalBastia
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Laval or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ 10Bet
Draw2.97 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.90 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Laval = 0.46 (league 1.42), Bastia = 0.25 (league 1.18)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Laval 0 48.7% 12.4% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 5.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 54.7% · Away win 15.0%

vtt 14 , vtd1