Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Marcel Tribut
Match Finished
3 - 1

PAU

Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.42) 1.53 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.2% 20.1% 25.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunkerque 0 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.1% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.8% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDunkerquePAU
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack73%73%
Defense64%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dunkerque PAU
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%44%44%40%38%39%
Draws33%33%33%20%50%33%
Loses22%22%22%40%13%28%

Form: Dunkerque: DDLWLDLWDLWWWDDWWW • PAU: WDWDLWWWWDLLDDLWLD

League goals

Metric Dunkerque PAU
HATHAT
GF total181432141226
GF avg2.01.61.81.41.51.4
GA total11920151328
GA avg1.21.01.11.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDunkerquePAU
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%72%83%72%
1.556%33%44%44%
2.522%6%17%22%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDunkerquePAU
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricDunkerquePAU
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricDunkerquePAU
Wins34
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-32-10-36-0
Goals For6333
Goals Against3236

Model comparison

MetricDunkerquePAU
Form69%31%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Dunkerque or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dunkerque = 2.25 (league 1.42), PAU = 1.53 (league 1.18)

PAU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dunkerque 0 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.1% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.8% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.3% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 25.4%

vtt 8 , vtd1