Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Armand Cesari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.38) 0.89 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 36.5% 40.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
0 - 1
20.3%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 22.9% 20.3% 9.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBastiaMontpellier
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack36%14%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bastia Montpellier
HATHAT
Played8101810919
Wins25%10%17%40%33%37%
Draws25%30%28%20%22%21%
Loses50%60%56%40%44%42%

Form: Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDWW • Montpellier: DWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Bastia Montpellier
HATHAT
GF total741113619
GF avg0.90.40.61.30.71.0
GA total12102212820
GA avg1.51.01.21.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBastiaMontpellier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%67%68%74%
1.517%39%21%21%
2.50%17%5%11%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBastiaMontpellier
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score2810246

Penalties

MetricBastiaMontpellier
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBastiaMontpellier
Wins12
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-11-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-32-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricBastiaMontpellier
Form88%13%
Att71%29%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total51.7%48.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bastia or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bastia = 0.59 (league 1.38), Montpellier = 0.89 (league 1.18)

Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 22.9% 20.3% 9.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 40.6%

vtt 18 , vtd1