Fri, Jan 30 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade de la Mosson
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.37)
1.82 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | 22.6% | 44.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Guingamp | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier | 0 | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montpellier | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 89% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montpellier | Guingamp | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 25% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
MontpellierDWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDLLW
GuingampDLLWWLWWDDLDWDWLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Montpellier | Guingamp | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montpellier | Guingamp | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 70% | 75% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 20% | 60% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 10% | 25% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montpellier | Guingamp | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montpellier | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montpellier | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montpellier | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 43.7% | 56.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.65 @ Dafabet
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away3.18 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.42 @ SBO
Under 2.51.74 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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