Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Marcel Picot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.39) 1.09 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.3% 33.3% 51.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.3%
0 - 0
21.4%
0 - 2
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nancy 0 21.4% 23.3% 12.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.7% 10.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNancyEstac Troyes
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack50%63%
Defense13%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nancy Estac Troyes
HATHAT
Played10112112921
Wins30%27%29%75%33%57%
Draws10%27%19%8%44%24%
Loses60%45%52%17%22%19%

Form: Nancy: DWWDLLWLDLLWLLLLWWLLD • Estac Troyes: WDWLWWWWDWDWDLWDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Nancy Estac Troyes
HATHAT
GF total7111824933
GF avg0.71.00.92.01.01.6
GA total13162912820
GA avg1.31.51.41.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNancyEstac Troyes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%76%76%67%
1.529%38%48%24%
2.55%19%24%5%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNancyEstac Troyes
HATHAT
Clean sheets325437
Failed to score5510145

Penalties

MetricNancyEstac Troyes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNancyEstac Troyes
Wins24
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-21-3
Biggest losses0-34-10-22-0
Goals For2353
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricNancyEstac Troyes
Form44%56%
Att44%56%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Estac Troyes and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nancy = 0.45 (league 1.39), Estac Troyes = 1.09 (league 1.19)

Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nancy 0 21.4% 23.3% 12.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.7% 10.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 51.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1