Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.37) 0.87 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 28.0% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 10.9% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaint EtienneMontpellier
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack38%88%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saint Etienne Montpellier
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%45%48%45%40%43%
Draws20%18%19%18%20%19%
Loses30%36%33%36%40%38%

Form: Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLWLLWLWWLDDWLL • Montpellier: DWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDLLWW

League goals

Metric Saint Etienne Montpellier
HATHAT
GF total23133616824
GF avg2.31.21.71.50.81.1
GA total13142713821
GA avg1.31.31.31.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaint EtienneMontpellier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%67%71%71%
1.552%38%29%19%
2.524%19%10%10%
3.510%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaint EtienneMontpellier
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score145246

Penalties

MetricSaint EtienneMontpellier
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSaint EtienneMontpellier
Wins32
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses2-34-01-32-0
Goals For6342
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricSaint EtienneMontpellier
Form42%58%
Att30%70%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total62.7%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Saint Etienne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Unibet
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saint Etienne = 1.34 (league 1.37), Montpellier = 0.87 (league 1.19)

Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 10.9% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1