Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 19:00 • Stade de Roudourou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.39) 1.51 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 24.7% 39.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guingamp 0 5.4% 8.2% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuingampSaint Etienne
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack44%11%
Defense83%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guingamp Saint Etienne
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%36%41%55%45%50%
Draws27%27%27%18%18%18%
Loses27%36%32%27%36%32%

Form: Guingamp: DLLWWLWWDDLDWDWLLWWWLD • Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLWLLWLWWLDDWLLW

League goals

Metric Guingamp Saint Etienne
HATHAT
GF total161733241337
GF avg1.51.51.52.21.21.7
GA total161733131427
GA avg1.51.51.51.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuingampSaint Etienne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%68%77%64%
1.555%45%50%36%
2.523%23%23%18%
3.50%9%9%5%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuingampSaint Etienne
HATHAT
Clean sheets437448
Failed to score336145

Penalties

MetricGuingampSaint Etienne
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricGuingampSaint Etienne
Wins33
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-36-00-2
Biggest losses0-45-22-34-0
Goals For3363
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricGuingampSaint Etienne
Form59%41%
Att80%20%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Guingamp or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guingamp = 1.41 (league 1.39), Saint Etienne = 1.51 (league 1.19)

Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guingamp 0 5.4% 8.2% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 39.5%

vtt 14 , vtd1