Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 •
Stade de la Mosson
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.38)
1.73 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3% | 23.4% | 44.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Mans | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montpellier | 0 | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montpellier | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 28% |
| Defense | 67% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montpellier | Le Mans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 45% | 36% | 41% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 18% | 18% | 18% | 33% | 50% | 41% |
| Loses | 36% | 45% | 41% | 17% | 10% | 14% |
MontpellierDWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDLLWWL
Le MansDLWLLDWDDWWDWDWWWDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Montpellier | Le Mans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 8 | 24 | 10 | 17 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 6 | 13 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montpellier | Le Mans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 73% | 82% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 18% | 32% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montpellier | Le Mans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montpellier | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montpellier | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montpellier | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ Unibet
Draw3.14 @ Pinnacle
Away3.43 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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