Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 13:00 •
Stade de l'Aube
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.38)
1.27 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.7% | 20.3% | 21.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| PAU | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estac Troyes | 0 | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estac Troyes | PAU |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 100% |
| Defense | 25% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estac Troyes | PAU | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 75% | 27% | 52% | 33% | 45% | 39% |
| Draws | 8% | 45% | 26% | 25% | 36% | 30% |
| Loses | 17% | 27% | 22% | 42% | 18% | 30% |
Estac TroyesWDWLWWWWDWDWDLWDWWWLLLD
PAUWDWDLWWWWDLLDDLWLDLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Estac Troyes | PAU | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 10 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estac Troyes | PAU | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 65% | 87% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 26% | 43% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 4% | 17% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estac Troyes | PAU | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estac Troyes | PAU |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estac Troyes | PAU |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estac Troyes | PAU |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ Bet365
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…