Ligue 2 — France
Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:45 • Stade Marie-Marvingt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.38) 0.64 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 36.3% 25.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.3%
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 22.3% 14.1% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe MansGuingamp
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack54%46%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Mans Guingamp
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins50%36%43%42%36%39%
Draws33%45%39%25%27%26%
Loses17%18%17%33%36%35%

Form: Le Mans: DLWLLDWDDWWDWDWWWDDWWDL • Guingamp: DLLWWLWWDDLDWDWLLWWWLDL

League goals

Metric Le Mans Guingamp
HATHAT
GF total101929171734
GF avg0.81.71.31.41.51.5
GA total61723181735
GA avg0.51.51.01.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe MansGuingamp
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%61%74%70%
1.535%26%52%48%
2.59%9%22%22%
3.50%4%0%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe MansGuingamp
HATHAT
Clean sheets819437
Failed to score314336

Penalties

MetricLe MansGuingamp
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLe MansGuingamp
Wins33
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-20-45-2
Goals For2333
Goals Against2445

Model comparison

MetricLe MansGuingamp
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Le Mans or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Le Mans = 0.87 (league 1.38), Guingamp = 0.64 (league 1.18)

Guingamp
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 22.3% 14.1% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.4% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 25.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1