Ligue 2 — France
Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 19:45 • Stade de la Licorne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.39) 1.28 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 29.2% 49.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amiens 0 13.6% 17.4% 11.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.4% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmiensEstac Troyes
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amiens Estac Troyes
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins17%33%25%77%27%54%
Draws25%17%21%8%45%25%
Loses58%50%54%15%27%21%

Form: Amiens: DWLDDWLLLWWLLLLLWLLDLWLD • Estac Troyes: WDWLWWWWDWDWDLWDWWWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Amiens Estac Troyes
HATHAT
GF total131528281038
GF avg1.11.31.22.20.91.6
GA total201939151025
GA avg1.71.61.61.20.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmiensEstac Troyes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%79%75%67%
1.533%46%46%29%
2.513%21%25%8%
3.54%8%8%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmiensEstac Troyes
HATHAT
Clean sheets235448
Failed to score538156

Penalties

MetricAmiensEstac Troyes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAmiensEstac Troyes
Wins24
Draws21
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-30-35-21-3
Biggest losses1-46-20-22-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against4632

Model comparison

MetricAmiensEstac Troyes
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h7%93%
Goals10%90%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Estac Troyes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away1.82 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amiens = 0.71 (league 1.39), Estac Troyes = 1.28 (league 1.19)

Estac Troyes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amiens 0 13.6% 17.4% 11.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.4% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 49.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1