Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade Armand Cesari
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.40)
0.99 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7% | 35.7% | 48.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
24.0%
0 - 2
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Boulogne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bastia | 0 | 24.3% | 24.0% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bastia | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 20% | 80% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bastia | Boulogne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 17% | 8% | 13% | 25% | 31% | 28% |
| Draws | 33% | 42% | 38% | 8% | 38% | 24% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 31% | 48% |
Form: Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDWWLDDDDL • Boulogne: LLLLWLWLWDLLDDWDLLWDWLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Bastia | Boulogne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bastia | Boulogne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 63% | 68% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 38% | 24% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 8% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bastia | Boulogne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bastia | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bastia | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bastia | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Bastia or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bastia = 0.43 (league 1.40), Boulogne = 0.99 (league 1.19)
| Boulogne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bastia | 0 | 24.3% | 24.0% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 48.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1