Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Paul-Lignon
Halftime
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.36) 0.34 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 41.0% 14.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
25.7%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodez 0 31.7% 10.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodezBastia
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack75%38%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodez Bastia
HATHAT
Played131427131326
Wins38%43%41%15%8%12%
Draws46%29%37%31%46%38%
Loses15%29%22%54%46%50%

Form: Rodez: DLDWWLWLDDLWLLDDWDDWDWWWDWW • Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDWWLDDDDLDL

League goals

Metric Rodez Bastia
HATHAT
GF total1420347714
GF avg1.11.41.30.50.50.5
GA total112132171330
GA avg0.81.51.21.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodezBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%78%38%65%
1.533%30%15%38%
2.511%7%0%12%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodezBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets426549
Failed to score2357916

Penalties

MetricRodezBastia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricRodezBastia
Wins32
Draws24
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-31-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-32-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricRodezBastia
Form81%19%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rodez or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodez = 0.81 (league 1.36), Bastia = 0.34 (league 1.18)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodez 0 31.7% 10.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.7% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 41.0% · Away win 14.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1