Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade Armand Cesari
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.37)
1.32 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 28.8% | 53.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.0%
0 - 0
14.4%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Amiens | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bastia | 0 | 14.4% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 7% |
| Attack | 20% | 25% |
| Defense | 65% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 15% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Draws | 31% | 50% | 41% | 21% | 14% | 18% |
| Loses | 54% | 43% | 48% | 64% | 57% | 61% |
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AmiensDWLDDWLLLWWLLLLLWLLDLWLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bastia | Amiens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 41% | 67% | 64% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 37% | 36% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 14% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bastia | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ Dafabet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.31 @ SBO
Under 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Bet365
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League standings
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