Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 19:00 •
The Showgrounds
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.55)
1.60 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.1% | 18.2% | 22.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Lisburn Distillery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newry City AFC | 0 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 2 |
| Form | 44% | 17% |
| Attack | 8% | 8% |
| Defense | 88% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Newry City AFC: DWL • Lisburn Distillery: DL
League goals
| Metric | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newry City AFC | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Newry City AFC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newry City AFC = 2.58 (league 1.55), Lisburn Distillery = 1.60 (league 1.25)
| Lisburn Distillery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newry City AFC | 0 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 22.3%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1