Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 •
Iveagh Park
Expected Goals
6.45 (league 1.55)
0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
best score tips
5 - 0
6.6%
5 - 1
5.3%
4 - 0
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lisburn Distillery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rathfriland | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 2 |
| Form | 44% | 17% |
| Attack | 48% | 9% |
| Defense | 87% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 3.7 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Rathfriland: DLW • Lisburn Distillery: DL
League goals
| Metric | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rathfriland | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 85% | 15% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Rathfriland and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rathfriland = 6.45 (league 1.55), Lisburn Distillery = 0.80 (league 1.25)
| Lisburn Distillery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rathfriland | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 1.3% · Away win 0.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1