Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Mill Meadow
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.88)
1.96 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 20.6% | 64.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Rathfriland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyola Park | 0 | 6.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moyola Park | Rathfriland |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 71% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moyola Park | Rathfriland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Moyola Park: DWWWDD • Rathfriland: DLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Moyola Park | Rathfriland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moyola Park | Rathfriland | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moyola Park | Rathfriland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moyola Park | Rathfriland |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moyola Park | Rathfriland |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 9-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moyola Park | Rathfriland |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Rathfriland
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moyola Park = 0.75 (league 1.88), Rathfriland = 1.96 (league 1.38)
| Rathfriland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyola Park | 0 | 6.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 64.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1