Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 14:00 •
Melvin Sports Complex
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.55)
2.08 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 18.4% | 70.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.0%
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 3
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Lisburn Distillery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strabane Athletic | 0 | 6.9% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 21% | 21% |
| Defense | 43% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
Form: Strabane Athletic: WDLLLW • Lisburn Distillery: DLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lisburn Distillery
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Strabane Athletic = 0.59 (league 1.55), Lisburn Distillery = 2.08 (league 1.25)
| Lisburn Distillery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strabane Athletic | 0 | 6.9% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 70.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1