Tue, Mar 24 2026 • 19:45 •
Iveagh Park
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 2.29)
1.01 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 25.6% | 24.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Newry City AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rathfriland | 0 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 64% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Wins | 43% | 63% | 53% | 75% | 40% | 56% |
| Draws | 14% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 10% | 17% |
| Loses | 43% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 28% |
Form: Rathfriland: DLWWWLDWWWWLLLW • Newry City AFC: DWLWWWDDWLWLWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 20 | 39 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 60% | 72% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 33% | 50% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 7% | 33% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 2-1 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rathfriland | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.4% | 49.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Rathfriland or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rathfriland = 1.54 (league 2.29), Newry City AFC = 1.01 (league 1.39)
| Newry City AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rathfriland | 0 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 24.7%
vtt 3 , vtd1