Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Darragh Park
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 2.31)
1.20 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.1% | 25.3% | 29.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Newry City AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dergview | 0 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dergview | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 67% | 53% |
| Defense | 20% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dergview | Newry City AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 75% | 40% | 56% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 10% | 17% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 27% | 0% | 50% | 28% |
Form: Dergview: WDWLWWLDWDLDDWL • Newry City AFC: DWLWWWDDWLWLWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Dergview | Newry City AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dergview | Newry City AFC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 87% | 72% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 60% | 50% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 20% | 33% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dergview | Newry City AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dergview | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dergview | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dergview | Newry City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Newry City AFC
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Dergview = 1.52 (league 2.31), Newry City AFC = 1.20 (league 1.41)
| Newry City AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dergview | 0 | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 29.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1