Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Dixon Park
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 2.11)
1.67 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 22.2% | 35.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Dergview | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ballyclare Comrades | 0 | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Dergview carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 67 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ballyclare Comrades -43.4, Dergview -2.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Ballyclare Comrades
vs
Dergview
Elo gapDergview +67
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2872.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2872.4
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1385.1 | 1487.3 |
| Form Elo | 1362.2 | 1484.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1473.2 | 1512.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1475.8 | 1565.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1344.9 | 1365.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -43.4 | -2.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Ballyclare Comrades last-5 Elo change: -43.4; Dergview last-5 Elo change: -2.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 47% |
| Attack | 32% | 50% |
| Defense | 23% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| Wins | 60% | 23% | 39% | 43% | 40% | 41% |
| Draws | 20% | 8% | 13% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
| Loses | 20% | 69% | 48% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Ballyclare ComradesDWWDWWLDLWWWLWLWLLLLLLL
DergviewWDWLWWLDWDLDDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 13 | 37 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 27 | 41 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 74% | 82% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 43% | 71% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 30% | 35% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 17% | 12% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 9% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 5-2 | 2-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ballyclare Comrades | Dergview |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 50.4% | 49.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…