Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Mill Meadow
Expected Goals
3.69 (league 2.11)
1.01 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.7%
3 - 0
7.6%
4 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lisburn Distillery | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moyola Park | 0 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 36% | 45% |
| Defense | 82% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| Wins | 89% | 30% | 58% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 11% | 30% | 21% | 8% | 22% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 21% | 58% | 44% | 52% |
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Lisburn DistilleryDLLLLWWLWLWWLWLDLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 12 | 45 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GF avg | 3.7 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 63% | 76% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 26% | 48% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 5% | 19% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 5% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 10-1 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 10 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moyola Park | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 48% | 52% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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