Ligat Ha'al — Israel
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:00 • Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.51 (league 1.54) 1.41 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.7% 2.5% 1.5%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.0%
4 - 1
3.8%
5 - 0
3.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%100%100%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Hapoel Beer Sheva: WWWWW • Hapoel Tel Aviv: WDWWW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
GF total1010206814
GF avg5.03.34.02.04.02.8
GA total134347
GA avg0.51.00.81.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%100%80%
1.580%20%80%60%
2.580%0%40%0%
3.560%0%20%0%
4.540%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
Wins51
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-53-22-6
Biggest losses————
Goals For7536
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
Form54%46%
Att59%41%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals83%17%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Hapoel Beer Sheva and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.70 @ Marathonbet
Away6.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Beer Sheva = 6.51 (league 1.54), Hapoel Tel Aviv = 1.41 (league 1.42)

Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.6% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 2.5% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1