Ligat Ha'al — Israel
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:30 • Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.82 (league 1.55) 0.43 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.7% 4.9% 1.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.2%
4 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ashdod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.6% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaAshdod
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack33%60%
Defense87%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Beer Sheva Ashdod
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%80%89%40%50%44%
Draws0%0%0%20%25%22%
Loses0%20%11%40%25%33%

Form: Hapoel Beer Sheva: WWWWWWLWW • Ashdod: WLLLWWDDW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Beer Sheva Ashdod
HATHAT
GF total13112410515
GF avg3.32.22.72.01.31.7
GA total24610717
GA avg0.50.80.72.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Beer ShevaAshdod
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%89%78%
1.556%11%56%33%
2.544%0%11%22%
3.533%0%11%22%
4.522%0%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaAshdod
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaAshdod
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaAshdod
Wins62
Draws02
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-01-54-11-2
Biggest losses—1-02-65-1
Goals For7542
Goals Against1265

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Beer ShevaAshdod
Form52%48%
Att36%64%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw7.20 @ Pinnacle
Away13.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Betano
Under 2.53.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Beer Sheva = 3.82 (league 1.55), Ashdod = 0.43 (league 1.50)

Ashdod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.6% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.7% · Draw 4.9% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1