Ligat Ha'al — Israel
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 18:15 • Bloomfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.56) 0.53 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.8% 9.3% 3.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.2%
2 - 0
12.9%
4 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ashdod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.9% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 7.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Tel AvivAshdod
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack53%16%
Defense68%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Ashdod
HATHAT
Played78159716
Wins100%13%53%22%29%25%
Draws0%38%20%33%43%38%
Loses0%50%27%44%29%38%

Form: Hapoel Tel Aviv: WDWWWLLWDWLWDWL • Ashdod: WLLLWWDDWDDDDLLL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Ashdod
HATHAT
GF total17122913922
GF avg2.41.51.91.41.31.4
GA total41317191433
GA avg0.61.61.12.12.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Tel AvivAshdod
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%67%75%88%
1.560%47%50%56%
2.527%0%6%25%
3.513%0%6%19%
4.57%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Tel AvivAshdod
HATHAT
Clean sheets415112
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricHapoel Tel AvivAshdod
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricHapoel Tel AvivAshdod
Wins32
Draws14
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-64-11-2
Biggest losses—2-02-65-1
Goals For4642
Goals Against2265

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Tel AvivAshdod
Form78%22%
Att77%23%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h80%20%
Goals74%26%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Winner : Hapoel Tel Aviv

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away6.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Tel Aviv = 3.08 (league 1.56), Ashdod = 0.53 (league 1.48)

Ashdod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.9% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 7.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 9.3% · Away win 3.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1