Ligat Ha'al — Israel
Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 18:00 • Bloomfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.55) 0.76 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 22.7% 15.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 7.9% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Tel AvivHapoel Beer Sheva
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack64%79%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Beer Sheva
HATHAT
Played89179918
Wins100%11%53%78%67%72%
Draws0%44%24%22%11%17%
Loses0%44%24%0%22%11%

Form: Hapoel Tel Aviv: WDWWWLLWDWLWDWLWD • Hapoel Beer Sheva: WWWWWWLWWDWDWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Beer Sheva
HATHAT
GF total181533222143
GF avg2.31.71.92.42.32.4
GA total4162051116
GA avg0.51.81.20.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Tel AvivHapoel Beer Sheva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%65%83%56%
1.559%47%56%22%
2.529%6%39%11%
3.512%0%33%0%
4.56%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Tel AvivHapoel Beer Sheva
HATHAT
Clean sheets516538
Failed to score033123

Penalties

MetricHapoel Tel AvivHapoel Beer Sheva
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricHapoel Tel AvivHapoel Beer Sheva
Wins36
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-67-00-5
Biggest losses—2-0—3-0
Goals For4675
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Tel AvivHapoel Beer Sheva
Form44%56%
Att45%55%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Beer Sheva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away1.84 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Tel Aviv = 1.78 (league 1.55), Hapoel Beer Sheva = 0.76 (league 1.52)

Hapoel Beer Sheva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 7.9% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 15.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1