Liga Leumit — Israel
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:00 • Shkhunat Hatikva Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.38) 0.67 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.5% 18.0% 10.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0 5.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Nazareth Illit
Played44
Form83%0%
Attack89%33%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 23 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.89 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Kfar Shalem Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%100%

Form: Hapoel Kfar Shalem: DWWW • Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Kfar Shalem Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
GF total268123
GF avg1.03.02.00.51.00.8
GA total033369
GA avg0.01.50.81.53.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Nazareth Illit
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%100%
1.575%25%0%75%
2.550%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricHapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Nazareth Illit
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Nazareth Illit
Wins00
Draws10
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-3——
Biggest losses——1-24-1
Goals For2311
Goals Against0224

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Nazareth Illit
Form100%0%
Att73%27%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total60.3%39.8%

Advice: Winner : Hapoel Kfar Shalem

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Kfar Shalem = 2.17 (league 1.38), Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 0.67 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0 5.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 10.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1