Liga Leumit — Israel
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 16:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.38) 0.63 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 42.4% 31.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
0 - 1
19.5%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Kfar Saba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 30.9% 19.5% 6.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 10.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Saba
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack31%31%
Defense31%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Kfar Saba
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%67%0%40%
Draws0%33%20%33%50%40%
Loses100%67%80%0%50%20%

Form: Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLD • Hapoel Kfar Saba: WLWDD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Kfar Saba
HATHAT
GF total145415
GF avg0.51.31.01.30.51.0
GA total3811235
GA avg1.52.72.20.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Saba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%80%80%
1.520%80%20%20%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Saba
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Saba
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Saba
Wins01
Draws00
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-1—
Biggest losses1-24-1—2-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Saba
Form11%89%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Kfar Saba

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 0.54 (league 1.38), Hapoel Kfar Saba = 0.63 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Kfar Saba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 30.9% 19.5% 6.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 10.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 42.4% · Away win 31.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1