Liga Leumit — Israel
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 • Afula Illit Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.38) 0.58 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.7% 11.4% 5.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Afula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Hadera 0 3.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.2% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Afula
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack40%13%
Defense33%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Hadera Hapoel Afula
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws33%67%50%33%0%17%
Loses67%33%50%67%100%83%

Form: Hapoel Hadera: DLLDDL • Hapoel Afula: LLLDLL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Hadera Hapoel Afula
HATHAT
GF total538112
GF avg1.71.01.30.30.30.3
GA total75128715
GA avg2.31.72.02.72.32.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel HaderaHapoel Afula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%33%100%
1.550%83%0%67%
2.50%17%0%50%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Afula
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Afula
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Afula
Wins00
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses2-32-00-44-1
Goals For2211
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Afula
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h88%13%
Goals80%20%
Total75.2%25.0%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Hadera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away5.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Hadera = 2.83 (league 1.38), Hapoel Afula = 0.58 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Afula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Hadera 0 3.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.2% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.7% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 5.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1