Liga Leumit — Israel
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 16:00 • Afula Illit Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.38) 2.27 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 13.6% 80.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
20.1%
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 3
15.2%
Hapoel Acre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Afula 0 7.8% 17.6% 20.1% 15.2% 8.7% 3.9%
1 2.2% 5.0% 5.7% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1%
2 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Acre
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack25%58%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Afula Hapoel Acre
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%0%0%33%25%29%
Draws33%25%29%67%25%43%
Loses67%75%71%0%50%29%

Form: Hapoel Afula: LLLDLLD • Hapoel Acre: DDWLDLW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Afula Hapoel Acre
HATHAT
GF total123549
GF avg0.30.50.41.71.01.3
GA total8816358
GA avg2.72.02.31.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel AfulaHapoel Acre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%100%86%86%
1.50%57%43%29%
2.50%43%0%0%
3.50%29%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Acre
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Acre
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Acre
Wins01
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-01-2
Biggest losses0-44-1—2-1
Goals For1122
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Acre
Form22%78%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total25.0%75.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Acre

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.15 @ Pinnacle
Away1.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Afula = 0.28 (league 1.38), Hapoel Acre = 2.27 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Acre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Afula 0 7.8% 17.6% 20.1% 15.2% 8.7% 3.9%
1 2.2% 5.0% 5.7% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1%
2 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 80.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1