Liga Leumit — Israel
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 16:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.38) 2.96 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.4% 7.3% 83.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.3%
0 - 3
18.0%
0 - 4
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kafr Qasim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 4.2% 12.4% 18.3% 18.0% 13.3% 7.9%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitKafr Qasim
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack33%100%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Kafr Qasim
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%25%67%43%
Draws0%50%29%25%33%29%
Loses100%50%71%50%0%29%

Form: Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLD • Kafr Qasim: DDWWLWL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Kafr Qasim
HATHAT
GF total1567815
GF avg0.31.30.91.82.72.1
GA total49138311
GA avg1.32.31.92.01.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Nazareth IllitKafr Qasim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%86%86%
1.514%57%57%71%
2.50%14%43%0%
3.50%14%29%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitKafr Qasim
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitKafr Qasim
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitKafr Qasim
Wins02
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-20-4
Biggest losses1-24-10-2—
Goals For1244
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitKafr Qasim
Form18%82%
Att25%75%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total28.0%72.0%

Advice: Winner : Kafr Qasim

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ 188Bet
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 0.22 (league 1.38), Kafr Qasim = 2.96 (league 1.19)

Kafr Qasim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 4.2% 12.4% 18.3% 18.0% 13.3% 7.9%
1 0.9% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.4% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 83.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1