Liga Leumit — Israel
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 13:00 • Afula Illit Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.38) 2.19 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 18.8% 32.8%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Hadera 0 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.3% 5.0% 5.5% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
2 2.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack58%33%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Hadera Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%0%0%0%
Draws50%50%50%25%50%38%
Loses50%25%38%75%50%63%

Form: Hapoel Hadera: DLLDDLDW • Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLDD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Hadera Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
GF total6612257
GF avg1.51.51.50.51.30.9
GA total85135914
GA avg2.01.31.61.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel HaderaHapoel Nazareth Illit
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%75%100%
1.550%63%13%50%
2.513%13%0%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Wins00
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-3——
Biggest losses2-32-01-24-1
Goals For2312
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricHapoel HaderaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h85%15%
Goals70%30%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Hadera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Hadera = 2.49 (league 1.38), Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 2.19 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Hadera 0 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
1 2.3% 5.0% 5.5% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
2 2.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.5% 3.3% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1