Liga Leumit — Israel
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 13:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.38) 1.31 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 28.9% 56.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 0
16.2%
0 - 2
14.0%
Hapoel Acre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 16.2% 21.3% 14.0% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.2% 10.8% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Acre
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack21%37%
Defense74%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Acre
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins0%0%0%25%20%22%
Draws25%60%44%50%40%44%
Loses75%40%56%25%40%33%

Form: Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLDDD • Hapoel Acre: DDWLDLWDL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Acre
HATHAT
GF total2575611
GF avg0.51.00.81.31.21.2
GA total59145712
GA avg1.31.81.61.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Acre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%89%78%89%
1.511%44%44%44%
2.50%11%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Acre
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Acre
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Acre
Wins01
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-01-2
Biggest losses1-24-10-22-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Acre
Form44%56%
Att36%64%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h40%60%
Goals43%57%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Acre

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 0.51 (league 1.38), Hapoel Acre = 1.31 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Acre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 16.2% 21.3% 14.0% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.2% 10.8% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 56.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1