Liga Leumit — Israel
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 13:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.37) 0.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.0% 33.2% 26.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Afula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 17.6% 13.2% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Afula
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack42%50%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Afula
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins17%0%8%0%29%15%
Draws33%43%38%33%14%23%
Loses50%57%54%67%57%62%

Form: Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLDDDDLWL • Hapoel Afula: LLLDLLDDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Afula
HATHAT
GF total57125611
GF avg0.81.00.90.80.90.8
GA total61420151227
GA avg1.02.01.52.51.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Afula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%85%62%92%
1.515%46%23%62%
2.50%15%0%38%
3.50%8%0%15%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Afula
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score213325

Penalties

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Afula
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Afula
Wins11
Draws42
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——1-2
Biggest losses1-24-10-44-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Afula
Form45%55%
Att45%55%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h75%25%
Goals58%42%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 0.99 (league 1.37), Hapoel Afula = 0.75 (league 1.20)

Hapoel Afula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 17.6% 13.2% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1