Liga Leumit — Israel
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 13:00 • Green Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.37) 1.29 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 25.8% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 6.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.3% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Shalem
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack60%53%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Kfar Shalem
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%0%16%40%44%42%
Draws33%60%47%20%22%21%
Loses33%40%37%40%33%37%

Form: Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLDDDDLWLDDWDWD • Hapoel Kfar Shalem: DWWWDLLWWLLWDLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Nazareth Illit Hapoel Kfar Shalem
HATHAT
GF total111122151530
GF avg1.21.11.21.51.71.6
GA total81826161430
GA avg0.91.81.41.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Shalem
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%79%84%
1.532%42%47%58%
2.55%11%26%16%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Shalem
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score224314

Penalties

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Shalem
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Shalem
Wins13
Draws41
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-33-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Kfar Shalem
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 1.40 (league 1.37), Hapoel Kfar Shalem = 1.29 (league 1.19)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0 6.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.3% 7.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 34.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1