Liga Leumit — Israel
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 17:30 • Grundman Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.35) 1.94 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 22.1% 51.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Afula 0 4.1% 7.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack23%46%
Defense54%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Afula Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Played141327141428
Wins21%38%30%21%14%18%
Draws29%31%30%43%50%46%
Loses50%31%41%36%36%36%

Form: Hapoel Afula: LLLDLLDDWLWLLDWWDDDWWLWLWLD • Hapoel Nazareth Illit: LLLLDLDDDDLWLDDWDWDDDLWDWLDL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Afula Hapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
GF total121628161834
GF avg0.91.21.01.11.31.2
GA total251843182644
GA avg1.81.41.61.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel AfulaHapoel Nazareth Illit
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%79%82%
1.533%41%36%46%
2.54%26%7%14%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Nazareth Illit
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score729426

Penalties

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Wins21
Draws34
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-54-10-45-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against5445

Model comparison

MetricHapoel AfulaHapoel Nazareth Illit
Form58%42%
Att33%67%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Nazareth Illit

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Afula = 1.27 (league 1.35), Hapoel Nazareth Illit = 1.94 (league 1.21)

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Afula 0 4.1% 7.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 51.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1