Bundesliga — Austria
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:30 • Merkur-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.42) 1.23 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 29.7% 46.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
WSG Wattens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 13.3% 16.4% 10.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.9% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.1% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack45%55%
Defense18%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sturm Graz WSG Wattens
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins17%88%57%43%14%29%
Draws17%0%7%29%57%43%
Loses67%13%36%29%29%29%

Form: Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDLW • WSG Wattens: WWDDLDLLLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Sturm Graz WSG Wattens
HATHAT
GF total5182314620
GF avg0.82.31.62.00.91.4
GA total10616101020
GA avg1.70.81.11.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSturm GrazWSG Wattens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%57%79%79%
1.543%36%36%43%
2.521%21%21%14%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
HATHAT
Clean sheets156123
Failed to score101033

Penalties

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Wins42
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-34-22-3
Biggest losses1-32-12-34-1
Goals For1443
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Form31%69%
Att45%55%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 188Bet
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away5.35 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sturm Graz = 0.79 (league 1.42), WSG Wattens = 1.23 (league 1.25)

WSG Wattens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 13.3% 16.4% 10.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.9% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.1% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 46.4%

vtt 8 , vtd1