Bundesliga — Austria
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:30 • Merkur-Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.44) 1.21 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 30.0% 46.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
WSG Wattens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 13.7% 16.6% 10.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 12.9% 7.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.1% 5.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack62%46%
Defense8%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sturm Graz WSG Wattens
HATHAT
Played67137714
Wins17%86%54%43%14%29%
Draws17%0%8%29%57%43%
Loses67%14%38%29%29%29%

Form: Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDL • WSG Wattens: WWDDLDLLLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Sturm Graz WSG Wattens
HATHAT
GF total5172214620
GF avg0.82.41.72.00.91.4
GA total10616101020
GA avg1.70.91.21.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSturm GrazWSG Wattens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%62%79%79%
1.546%38%36%43%
2.523%23%21%14%
3.58%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
HATHAT
Clean sheets145123
Failed to score101033

Penalties

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Wins42
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-34-22-3
Biggest losses1-32-12-34-1
Goals For1443
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricSturm GrazWSG Wattens
Form31%69%
Att57%43%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Unibet
Draw4.50 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sturm Graz = 0.78 (league 1.44), WSG Wattens = 1.21 (league 1.26)

WSG Wattens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 13.7% 16.6% 10.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 12.9% 7.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.1% 5.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 46.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1