Bundesliga
— Austria
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Innviertel Arena
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.44)
0.55 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5% | 18.0% | 8.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Grazer AK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ried | 0 | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ried | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 62% | 23% |
| Defense | 31% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ried | Grazer AK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Ried: DLLWWLL • Grazer AK: DLDDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ried | Grazer AK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ried | Grazer AK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 57% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 57% | 14% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 0% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ried | Grazer AK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ried | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ried | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ried | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ried or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ried = 2.09 (league 1.44), Grazer AK = 0.55 (league 1.26)
| Grazer AK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ried | 0 | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.5% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 8.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1