Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 • Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.81 (league 1.42) 1.71 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 11.9% 12.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.3%
4 - 1
6.0%
3 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Red Bull Salzburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
WSG Wattens 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
2 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
3 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.5% 6.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
5 2.7% 4.6% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric WSG Wattens Red Bull Salzburg
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins67%0%33%50%33%43%
Draws33%67%50%25%33%29%
Loses0%33%17%25%33%29%

Form: WSG Wattens: WWDDLD • Red Bull Salzburg: DWWWDLL

League goals

Metric WSG Wattens Red Bull Salzburg
HATHAT
GF total831110515
GF avg2.71.01.82.51.72.1
GA total46104610
GA avg1.32.01.71.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%86%71%
1.533%33%71%57%
2.533%17%29%14%
3.517%17%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricWSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricWSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
Wins23
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2—5-01-2
Biggest losses—4-10-23-1
Goals For4152
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricWSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
Form46%54%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h15%85%
Goals10%90%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Red Bull Salzburg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.49 @ Pinnacle
Away1.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): WSG Wattens = 3.81 (league 1.42), Red Bull Salzburg = 1.71 (league 1.29)

Red Bull Salzburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
WSG Wattens 0 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
2 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
3 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 3.5% 6.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
5 2.7% 4.6% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1