Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.43) 1.17 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 26.4% 31.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rapid Vienna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Bull Salzburg 0 7.6% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.5% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRed Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack57%64%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Red Bull Salzburg Rapid Vienna
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%50%50%50%75%63%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%25%0%13%

Form: Red Bull Salzburg: DWWWDLLW • Rapid Vienna: WWDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Red Bull Salzburg Rapid Vienna
HATHAT
GF total107176612
GF avg2.51.82.11.51.51.5
GA total4711437
GA avg1.01.81.41.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRed Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%63%
1.575%50%38%13%
2.525%13%13%13%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRed Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricRed Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricRed Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
Wins33
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-3
Goals For5242
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricRed Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
Form41%59%
Att47%53%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rapid Vienna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away3.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Red Bull Salzburg = 1.40 (league 1.43), Rapid Vienna = 1.17 (league 1.28)

Rapid Vienna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Red Bull Salzburg 0 7.6% 9.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.5% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 31.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1